A Tycoon's Trading Diary

True story of the making of a tycoon. Options trading, trading systems, wealth, money management...

Friday, July 20, 2007

Dark Grey Friday, 20 July 2007

General notes

Rules set:
  • maximum risk (50% profit target or $100) but never more than 25% of whole account (until $5000 account value reached)
  • use only Day's GAPHV trade set - that is GAP high on volume (more than 25% average) on bar -1 then pullback on light volume (- 25%) on the next day, when it turns backward go long exit with target/risk method set above or when 50% target is reached & W%R closes under -20 sell at next bar if there is no reversal.
Filtered Trade Candidates for the Day
RIO: day 6 of GAPHV event, 'spinning top' formed, prices will most probably go towards the opening direction; TEF: day 3 of GAPHV event, 'spinning top' formed, as for RIO above.

Trade Session Notes
Nikkei...18157.93...+41.36...+0.2%.
Hang Seng
...23291.90...+275.70...+1.2%.
FTSE...6646.30...+6.10...+0.1%.
DAX...7962.87...-28.34...-0.3%.

9:56:29 AM MS: Bearish
CBOE VIX 15.70.47
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,190 3,559 183
NYSE 717 2,001 122

10:23:23 AM MS: Bearish
CBOE VIX 16.040.81
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,224 3,899 204
NYSE 749 2,034 126

10:48:43 AM MS: More Bearish
CBOE VIX 16.531.30
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,201 4,090 200
NYSE 663 2,156 135

11:36:35 AM MS: Bearish
CBOE VIX 16.721.49
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,211 4,294 207
NYSE 667 2,247 112

11:50:38 AM MS: no change
CBOE VIX 16.981.75
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,137 4,444 189
NYSE 613 2,306 124

12:21:10 PM MS: no change
CBOE VIX 17.352.12
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,102 4,560 206
NYSE 568 2,378 124

12:51:39 PM MS: no change
CBOE VIX 17.332.10
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,180 4,567 182
NYSE 592 2,388 107

1:51:34 PM MS: somewhat less bullish
CBOE VIX 16.951.72
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,332 4,505 204
NYSE 677 2,328 98

1:56:07 PM Made a fully speculative order on an out of the money RIO Aug 57,5 Call. First, I have had some money on my account and I wanted to invest it. Also, I have never used these really out of the money options.

2:23:49 PM MS: bulls climbing
CBOE VIX 16.531.30
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,553 4,330 204
NYSE 788 2,217 109

2:56:53 PM
CBOE VIX 16.651.42
Market Adv Decl Unch
Nasdaq 1,460 4,479 184
NYSE 720 2,308 89

Open Trades as of EOD 19 July
Live
SymbolDescriptionStockQTYCost BasisTotal c/bPriceMarket ValueGain/Loss
PCRJP %PCR OCT 80 Call72.931$5.20$520.00$4.70$470.00-50.00
Virtual
Symbol Description Stock Qty Cost Basis Total C/B Price Market Value Gain / Loss
.UPUGR CTSH JUL 90 Call $87.52 1 $5.60 $560.00 $0 $0.00 ($560.00)
Notes Break even at $4.55. Expiry at 20 July, Friday. Next Earnings 8/1/2007
.TEXJS TEX OCT 95 Call $94.10 1 $6.60 $660.00 $7.9 $790.00 $130.00
Notes Target: $94,85, next earnings 7/25/2007

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